John F. Sopko, cov Pentagon Special kws soj ntsuam General rau Reconstruction rau Afghanistan, muab ib sobering kev soj ntsuam lub limtiam tag los ntawm qhov teeb meem no rau hauv lub teb chaws 15 xyoos tom qab lub caij nplooj zeeg ntawm cov Taliban. Kev noj nyiaj txiag yog cov twg thiab ruaj ntseg suab tsis-existent. 700 ntau tshaj cov tsev kawm ntawv raug kaw tau lub hlis tsis ntev los no vim tus niam insurgency. Dua li ntawm tsawg kawg yog $7 kuj nyob counter-sib tov siv, yeeb ntau lawm tsoo 3,300 tons rau 2015 — raws nraim rau tib theem li yog nyob rau thaum lub U.S. invaded 2000.
"Tsib xyoos mus rau kev ua hauj lwm tsis tiav cov nyiaj pab thiab sib ntaus, peb yuav tsum xwb hais, 'Dab tsi mus lawm?'" Sopko hais tias nyob rau hauv ib qho chaw nyob xya hnub nyob Harvard University, CNN qhia.
Tus debacle yog qhov qhia inescapable. Nyob ib lub tsev lub rooj sib hais txog rau Afghanistan reconstruction siv lub hli tas los, Rep. Thomas Massie (R -KY) pressed Pentagon tus neeg ua hauj lwm rau hom metrics lawv siv gauge kawm tau zoo nyob rau hauv cov kev counter-narcotic.
"Tsov rog rau cov nyob rau Afghanistan," Massie xaus hauv lus khaws yog vim li cas, "raws li qhov muaj yog rog rau tshuaj, nws kuj yog ib tug tsis ua hauj lwm."
Cov kev grim muaj tiag yog acknowledged ua qhov ntsaws sab saum toj commander nyob rau Afghanistan, Gen. John Campbell, nyob rau hauv los hais lus ua ntej Senate nqi pab pawg neeg nyob rau lub ob hlis ntuj.
"Rau Afghanistan lawm ntawm tus taw tes inflection" thiab 2016 yuav yog "tsis zoo thiab tejzaum nws mob heev dua rau 2015", nws hais tias. Tab sis raws li CNN muab sau, nws cov lus nws yog ib tug uas nyob rau thaum kawg: "tam sim no, ntau tshaj puas, lub teb chaws As Mes Lis Kas yuav tsis waver nyob rau Afghanistan."
Dua li ntawm qhov supposed U.S. "ntsoos ntsoos", tsov rog no xwb escalating. Nyob teb chaws Asmeskas troops txuam nrog kev sib tua — thiab yeeb yam yog ib goad ntawm cov teeb meem. Lub sij hawm New York cov Taliban muaj tam sim no gained tsib Helmand xeev 14 cheeb tsam thaum tseem ntaus tsiv, qhia lub hli tas los. Hos tus twg tsis pav nws, Helmand yog rau Afghanistan tus yeeb heartland — thiaj li tswj tau qhov chaw uas zoo heev thiab nws cov lucrative poppy plantations yog xaiv yaam kev teev cov rog hauv teb chaws.
Thiab yog li tus Pentagon twb tsis muaj nws cov tes tag nrog cov Taliban, insurgency ISIS cog tam sim no poses ua kev hem thawj ob.
Nyob rau lub ib hlis ntuj, lub State Department npe hu ua ISIS franchise nyob rau Afghanistan tus "txawv teb chaws neeg koom haum organization," muab lub teb chaws Asmeskas tub rog raug raws ntaub ntawv tso cai tau tom qab rau cov pawg "ISIS Khorasan" los yog ISIS-K, CNN qhia.
Nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb chim heev, U.S. drone strikes tua 17 tsawg tus neeg nyob hauv lub xeev Hwj Naj Paktika sab hnub tuaj rau Afghanistan lub limtiam tag los. Lub Pentagon tau thov tag nrho cov raug tua nyob militants, tiam sis zos hais tias tus neeg ntawd civilians, nrog rau pab pawg neeg elder, mloog xov tooj cua Europe dawb qhia.
Ironically, ua hauj lwm tub rog cia siab tias yuav ua lull nyob rau hauv kev sib tua ntxhov — tiam sis tsuas txaus rau sau yeeb.
Raws li Military.com, Wilson A. Shoffner, lub ntsiab spokesman NATO tus lag luam Resolute them, tub rog Brig. Gen. piav thaum ib Pentagon theem lub hlis tas los no: "nyob rau hauv lub xeev hauv qab teb rau qaum teb raws li tso cai rau cov huab cua, thiab peb thiaj mus pom ib yam tsawm tsawv thiab xyaum lub xyoo no. Ces peb cia siab tias yuav hais tias ntsia hlau loj hauv [yog cov Taliban] yuav mus kom txog tom tw ib sab ntawm lub peb hlis ntuj thiab ces yuav tsum muaj ib tug lull thaum sau tau under way."